Russia's Fuel Exports: Global Dependence And Geopolitics

how much fuel comes from russia

Russia is a major player in the global energy market, with extensive crude export pipeline capacity. It is the world's second-largest producer of natural gas and has the largest gas reserves. In 2020, Russia was the world's biggest exporter of natural gas, and in 2021, it exported 40 bcm of LNG, making it the fourth-largest LNG exporter. In 2021, Russian crude and condensate output reached 10.5 million barrels per day, making up 14% of the world's total supply. It is also a significant supplier of crude oil to its neighbours and petroleum products to the nations of the former Soviet Union. In 2021, Europe imported 750,000 bpd of diesel from Russia, meeting 10% of its demand.

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Russia's fossil fuel exports

Russia is a major exporter of fossil fuels, including natural gas, oil, and coal. In 2020, Russia was the world's largest exporter of natural gas, the second-largest exporter of crude oil and condensates, and the third-largest exporter of coal. Russia has the largest natural gas reserves in the world, followed by Iran and Qatar. Together, these three countries accounted for half of the world's natural gas reserves in 2020.

In 2021, Russia exported over 201 billion cubic meters of natural gas via pipelines and nearly 40 billion cubic meters of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Europe, specifically OECD Europe, was the largest importer of Russia's natural gas, receiving nearly 75% of its total natural gas exports. Germany, Turkey, Italy, Belarus, and France were among the top recipients within Europe. Outside of Europe, China and Japan were also significant importers of Russian natural gas, together accounting for about 10% of its exports.

In terms of crude oil and condensates, Russia produced about 10.1 million barrels per day in 2021, of which it exported more than 45%, or 4.7 million barrels per day. Similar to natural gas, OECD Europe was the largest regional importer of Russia's crude oil and condensates, receiving almost half of its total exports. China was the single largest importer, receiving nearly one-third, while the Netherlands and Germany combined received about one-fourth. Russia also exported approximately 199,000 barrels per day of crude oil to the United States in 2021, around 4% of its total crude oil exports for that year.

Russia is also a significant exporter of coal, with Europe again being a key destination. In 2021, Russia exported more than half of the coal it produced, with one-third going to OECD Europe. Germany, the Netherlands, Turkey, and Poland were major recipients within Europe. China imported nearly 25% of Russia's coal exports, while South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan together received about 22%. Thermal coal, commonly used for power generation, made up 90% of Russia's coal exports.

However, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, there has been a push by Western countries to reduce their reliance on Russian fossil fuel imports. The United States has banned imports of Russian oil and gas, and the United Kingdom has also committed to ending imports of oil, coal, and gas from Russia. The European Union has not implemented a complete ban on Russian fossil fuels but has introduced policies to reduce its dependence, with individual member states taking various approaches. The reduction in Russian fossil fuel imports has had a significant impact on global energy markets and prices.

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Europe's reliance on Russian fuel

Europe has long been a key destination for Russia's energy exports, particularly natural gas. In 2021, Russia was the world's largest natural gas exporter, with the second-largest proven reserves after Iran. That year, European imports of Russian gas totalled about 140 billion cubic meters (bcm), with an additional 15 bcm delivered as liquefied natural gas (LNG). Russia accounted for over 39% of all extra-EU gas imports in 2021, supplying around 45% of the EU's gas imports and 40% of its total gas consumption.

Several European countries rely heavily on Russian gas. In 2019, North Macedonia, Moldova, and Bosnia and Herzegovina relied solely on Russia for their natural gas supply. The same year, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Norway, and Serbia imported about 99% of their natural gas from Russia. In 2021, Germany, Turkey, Italy, Belarus, and France received most of the EU's natural gas imports.

In response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the UK and EU introduced bans or partial bans on Russian coal and oil. The UK banned Russian gas imports starting in 2023. The EU has not implemented a ban but has introduced policies to reduce its dependence on Russian gas. In 2022, the EU announced a strategy to cut its reliance on Russian gas by two-thirds by the end of that year. Despite these efforts, Russian gas imports to the EU rose by 18% in 2024, driven by increased imports from Italy, Czechia, and France. This rise occurred despite no growth in demand and the EU's stated intention to end dependence on Russian fossil fuels by 2027.

The increase in Russian gas imports to the EU in 2024 can be attributed to several factors, including the diversion of LNG supplies to other foreign suppliers and the lack of legally binding measures to restrict Russian gas imports. The EU's plans to fund foreign LNG infrastructure and sign long-term LNG contracts may also have contributed to the rise in imports. However, this strategy risks further gas dependence on potentially unreliable actors and higher long-term costs for households and industries.

To truly break free from Russian gas, the EU must implement immediate and decisive actions. Suggested measures include enforcing an LNG price cap, banning spot market purchases, and committing to a full gas phase-out by 2027. Without such policies in place, the EU risks increasing its reliance on a volatile supplier.

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The UK's fuel imports from Russia

The UK has committed to ending its reliance on Russian fossil fuels. In 2021, imports of gas, oil and coal from Russia to the UK were worth a combined £4.5 billion. This fell to £2.2 billion in 2022 and £1.3 billion in the year to January 2023. In 2021, imports from Russia made up 4% of gas, 9% of oil and 27% of coal used in the UK.

In March 2022, the UK government introduced a ban on Russian coal and oil, with a ban on Russian gas imports coming into force in January 2023. In January 2023, the UK imported no coal, oil or gas from Russia, and in May 2023, it was reported that the UK had gone a full year without importing any Russian gas.

The UK's gas imports come from a diverse range of sources, including pipelines from the UK and Norway continental shelf, interconnectors with the continent, and liquified natural gas (LNG) terminals. The UK is also a significant producer of both crude oil and petroleum products, and it holds oil stocks to safeguard against supply disruptions.

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Russia's fuel exports to China

In 2021, Russia was the world's largest natural gas exporter, the second-largest exporter of crude oil and condensates, and the third-largest exporter of coal. While OECD Europe received most of Russia's crude oil, natural gas, and coal exports, China was the leading importer of Russia's crude oil and condensates exports by country, receiving nearly one-third of them. China also imported 25% of Russia's coal exports, which was nearly one-third of all of Russia's coal exports. China and Japan together accounted for approximately 10% of Russia's natural gas exports.

Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, China has been the leading export destination for Russian fossil fuels. As of May 28, 2024, Russia had exported fossil fuels worth around 178 billion euros to China. In January 2025, China's imports of Russian fossil fuels increased by 8% month-on-month, mainly due to a 16% increase in crude oil imports. In December 2024, there was a 10% month-on-month rise in Russian revenues from exports to China, mainly due to a 96% increase in revenues from oil products and a 45% increase in revenues from pipeline gas. From December 5, 2022, to the end of January 2025, China purchased 45% of all of Russia's coal exports.

In January 2025, Russia's monthly fossil fuel export revenues remained unchanged month-on-month, stabilizing at EUR 687 million per day. Revenues from seaborne crude oil surged by 13% month-on-month to EUR 231 million per day despite a mere 2% rise in export volumes. In December 2024, Turkey was the second-highest importer of fossil fuels from Russia, contributing 25% (EUR 3.9 billion) and 23% (EUR 3.3 billion) to Russia's monthly export earnings from its top five importers. Turkey's imports rose by 18% month-on-month, facilitated by a massive 34% surge in imports of oil products. In 2024, there was a 5% year-on-year reduction in Russian revenues from fossil fuels along with a similar 6% drop in the volumes of exports throughout the year.

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The future of Russian fuel exports

In 2021, Russia was the world's largest natural gas exporter, the second-largest crude oil and condensates exporter, and the third-largest coal exporter. Europe, particularly OECD Europe, received most of Russia's crude oil, natural gas, and coal exports. In the same year, Russia exported 201.7 billion cubic meters of gas via pipelines and 39.6 billion cubic meters of liquefied natural gas (LNG).

However, following the invasion of Ukraine, Russia has been reducing its gas exports to Europe through the Nord Stream pipeline, with all transporting of gas stopping in September. This has led to a decrease in Russia's gas exports to Europe, with its share of the EU's gas imports falling from 45% in 2021 to 15% in 2023.

Many countries and regions, including the UK, the EU, and the US, have introduced full or partial bans on Russian coal and oil imports. The EU, for example, has set a target to end its reliance on Russian gas by 2027. While there has been an increase in Russian gas imports to the EU in 2024, driven by higher imports from Italy, Czechia, and France, this goes against the EU's stated intention to phase out Russian energy.

The decline in Russian fuel exports to Europe has resulted in a search for alternative suppliers, such as the US and Norway. However, this has also led to concerns about overinvestment and increased dependence on potentially unreliable actors.

Russia may look to pivot to Asia for its fuel exports, but this is contingent on Chinese energy security and climate mitigation strategies. There is also uncertainty over the ability of Russian state-controlled companies to find new export routes.

In summary, the future of Russian fuel exports is uncertain, with a decline in exports to Europe due to sanctions and a move away from Russian energy. Russia may seek new export routes and markets, but the success of this strategy remains to be seen.

The Weight of Fuel: 10 Gallons

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Frequently asked questions

Russia is a major player in the global energy market and is one of the world's top three crude oil producers, vying for the top spot with Saudi Arabia and the United States. In 2021, Russia's crude and condensate output reached 10.5 million barrels per day, making up around 14% of the world's total supply.

In 2021, China was the largest importer of Russian crude oil, accounting for 1.6 million barrels per day. European nations collectively take about two-thirds of Russia's oil exports, with the EU being the largest importer of Russian LNG in June 2024, purchasing 54% of Russia's total exports.

Russia exports a variety of fuel products, including crude oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), petroleum products, naphtha, vacuum gas oil, gas oil, and fuel oil for boilers.

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