The Government's Fossil Fuel Subsidies: A Costly Affair

how much does the government subsidize fossil fuels

Fossil fuel subsidies are a pressing global issue. In 2022, global fossil fuel subsidies were estimated at $7 trillion, reflecting a $2 trillion increase since 2020. These subsidies are provided by governments to artificially lower the cost of fossil fuel energy production or the price paid by consumers. The consequences are significant, including increased greenhouse gas emissions, climate change, and adverse health impacts, with researchers from Harvard finding that pollutants from oil and gas combustion cause 8.7 million premature deaths annually. The United States, for instance, provides substantial subsidies to the fossil fuel industry, with estimates ranging from $20 billion to $646 billion annually. These subsidies are often justified as a means to protect consumers from volatile energy prices and promote economic growth. However, they hinder the transition to clean energy sources and contribute to social and environmental harms. Recognizing the negative impacts, countries have committed to phasing out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies, but this process faces political challenges and potential social unrest due to rising energy prices.

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Fossil fuel subsidies in the US

The US federal government provides numerous subsidies to the fossil fuel industry, including special provisions in the US tax code that specifically support and reward domestic fossil fuel-related production. These subsidies have been in place for a long time, with tax breaks for oil and gas exploration dating back to at least the early 20th century. In addition to tax breaks, the fossil fuel industry in the US also receives federal funding through the Department of Energy (DOE) and other organizations like the Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) and the United States Export-Import Bank (EXIM). This funding is provided in the form of project loans, grants, and guarantees, and it is meant to provide capital and fiscal security for investments in emerging markets overseas.

The exact amount of fossil fuel subsidies in the US is difficult to pinpoint, as different definitions and methods of calculation can lead to varying estimates. However, it is estimated that US taxpayers pay about $20 billion per year to the fossil fuel industry. Additionally, the IMF estimates the fiscal cost of government support for fossil fuels in the US at $646 billion per year, while other estimates range from $1 trillion to $7 trillion.

While the US has enjoyed unprecedented economic growth over the past century due in part to cheap energy, there are growing concerns about the negative impacts of fossil fuel subsidies. These subsidies contribute to air pollution, increased greenhouse gas emissions, and climate change. Economists and organizations like the IMF and IEA recommend phasing out fossil fuel subsidies, arguing that it would reduce air pollution, generate revenue, and contribute to slowing climate change. However, removing fuel subsidies can be tricky, and governments must carefully design and implement reforms to ensure a smooth transition.

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The impact of fossil fuel subsidies on the environment

Fossil fuel subsidies have a significant impact on the environment. By incentivizing the production and consumption of fossil fuels, these subsidies contribute to climate change and global warming. The burning of fossil fuels, such as coal, oil, and natural gas, releases greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide, which is the primary driver of climate change. According to the International Energy Agency, removing these subsidies would benefit energy markets, mitigate climate change, and improve government budgets.

The environmental impact of fossil fuel subsidies is felt through the externalities associated with fossil fuel combustion and extraction. These externalities include societal costs, environmental degradation, and health impacts, which are often overlooked in policy mechanisms promoting fossil fuel production. Vulnerable communities, such as minority and low-income populations living near polluting facilities, bear the brunt of these externalities, experiencing higher rates of adverse health effects and environmental degradation.

The IMF estimates that the global implicit subsidy for fossil fuels, in the form of unpriced externalities, amounts to $5.4 trillion annually, with the United States contributing $646 billion. Researchers from Harvard found that pollutants from oil and gas combustion cause approximately 8.7 million premature deaths each year. Additionally, the intensification of climate disasters, such as wildfires, floods, and droughts, is attributed to the continued reliance on fossil fuels, further exacerbating environmental degradation and societal costs.

Removing fossil fuel subsidies is crucial to addressing these environmental challenges. According to the IMF, eliminating these subsidies would lower global carbon emissions by 28 percent and reduce fossil fuel air pollution deaths by 46 percent. This reduction in emissions is essential to meeting global commitments to limit global warming to 1.5-2 degrees Celsius, as agreed upon in the Paris Agreement.

However, the phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies is politically challenging. While organizations like the G20, the International Energy Agency, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), and the European Union have called for a phase-out, concrete actions have been limited. Social unrest and concerns about the impact on vulnerable communities have hindered progress. Nevertheless, some countries, such as India, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, and Ukraine, have successfully phased out explicit subsidies and introduced taxes to address external costs.

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The cost of fossil fuel subsidies

Fossil fuel subsidies have been defined as "any government action that lowers the cost of fossil fuel energy production, raises the price received by energy producers, or lowers the price paid by energy consumers". These subsidies are intended to protect consumers by keeping prices low, but they come at a substantial cost.

Fiscal cost

Fossil fuel subsidies have sizable fiscal consequences, leading to higher taxes, increased borrowing, or lower spending. In 2023, the fiscal cost of government support for fossil fuels was estimated to be 1.1 trillion USD, with 90% of this related to the consumption of fossil fuels. The fiscal cost of support for residential users was 189 billion USD, while for manufacturing and other industries it was 103.8 billion USD.

Inefficient allocation of resources

Subsidies promote the inefficient allocation of an economy's resources, hindering growth. By keeping fossil fuel prices artificially low, subsidies discourage investment in renewable energy sources and efficient technologies.

Environmental cost

Subsidies encourage pollution, contributing to climate change and premature deaths from local air pollution. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates that the costs to the US government from climate change, local air pollution impacts, and infrastructure damage not captured by energy taxes totaled $686 billion in 2015. Researchers from Harvard found that pollutants from oil and gas combustion were responsible for 8.7 million premature deaths annually.

Social cost

Subsidies are not well targeted at the poor and mostly benefit higher-income households. Removing subsidies and using the revenue gain for better-targeted social spending could promote more equitable outcomes.

Energy security

Fossil fuel subsidy removal would also reduce energy security concerns related to volatile fossil fuel supplies.

Despite the costs and negative impacts of fossil fuel subsidies, removing them can be politically challenging. In some cases, it may lead to social unrest, especially if prices increase as a result. However, the transition to clean and renewable energy sources and the increasing affordability of low-carbon energy technologies should reduce this dilemma over time.

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The impact of removing fossil fuel subsidies

Fossil fuel subsidies are a significant issue, with global subsidies reaching $7 trillion in 2022, or 7.1% of global GDP. The International Energy Agency estimates that fossil fuel subsidies reached $1 trillion in 2022, while the IMF estimates a figure of $5.4 trillion for the same year. The Biden-Harris Administration's FY 2024 budget request aims to eliminate 13 fossil fuel tax preferences and credits, which could reduce the federal deficit by almost $31 billion over ten years.

Secondly, removing fossil fuel subsidies could promote sustainable and equitable outcomes. Currently, subsidies lead to higher taxes, borrowing, or lower spending, hinder economic growth, and encourage pollution. By removing subsidies and using the revenue gain for targeted social spending, reductions in inefficient taxes, and productive investments, governments can promote more sustainable and equitable outcomes.

Thirdly, removing fossil fuel subsidies could reduce energy security concerns related to volatile fossil fuel supplies. Fossil fuel supplies are subject to price volatility, which can impact energy security. By removing subsidies, governments can reduce their dependence on fossil fuels and diversify their energy sources, improving energy security.

Finally, removing fossil fuel subsidies could accelerate the transition to clean and renewable energy alternatives. Many renewable energy sources, such as wind, solar, and hydropower, have become increasingly price-competitive with traditional fossil fuels. By removing subsidies for fossil fuels, the playing field would be leveled, and renewable energy sources could become more economically attractive, accelerating the transition to a cleaner energy future.

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Indirect fossil fuel subsidies

Fossil fuel subsidies have sizable fiscal consequences, leading to higher taxes, more borrowing, or lower spending. They also promote inefficient allocation of an economy's resources, hindering growth, and encouraging pollution, contributing to climate change and premature deaths from local air pollution. These subsidies are not well-targeted at the poor, mostly benefiting higher-income households.

Another example of an indirect subsidy is the discounted cost of leasing federal lands for fossil fuel extraction. Additionally, some subsidies provide public assistance, such as the Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP), which assists low-income households with heating costs.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) calls the global free pass for fossil fuels an "implicit" subsidy, or an "unpriced externality." This refers to the substantial harm caused by local air pollution, intensifying disasters, and the growing costs associated with them. The IMF estimates that the worldwide cost of this implicit subsidy is $5.4 trillion annually, with the United States contributing $646 billion per year.

According to the IMF, removing fossil fuel subsidies would have lowered global carbon emissions by 28%, reduced fossil fuel air pollution deaths by 46%, and increased government revenue by 3.8% of GDP. Removing these subsidies and using the revenue for better-targeted social spending, reducing inefficient taxes, and productive investments can promote sustainable and equitable outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Fossil fuel subsidies are any government action that lowers the cost of fossil fuel energy production, raises the price received by energy producers, or lowers the price paid by energy consumers.

The amount of government subsidies for fossil fuels varies by country and year. In 2022, global explicit subsidies for fossil fuels amounted to around $1.5 trillion, with most of these explicit subsidies going to consumers. The International Energy Agency estimates that governments subsidized the consumption of fossil fuels by $1 trillion in 2022. According to the International Monetary Fund, the global fossil fuel subsidies were $7 trillion or 7.1% of GDP in 2022.

Fossil fuel subsidies have significant impacts on the economy, the environment, and society. Economically, subsidies can lead to higher taxes, borrowing, or lower spending, hinder economic growth, and increase energy security concerns. Environmentally, subsidies contribute to climate change, local air pollution, and increased greenhouse gas emissions. Socially, subsidies can disproportionately benefit higher-income households and lead to social unrest when prices increase due to subsidy reform.

Governments provide fossil fuel subsidies to protect consumers by keeping prices low, especially for low-income consumers. Additionally, governments argue that subsidies are necessary to shield citizens from variations in international energy prices. However, economists generally agree that subsidies offer little benefit in terms of job creation, lower prices, or increased energy security.

Several countries have successfully phased out or reduced fossil fuel subsidies. For example, Ghana abolished all diesel and gasoline subsidies in July 2014, while Egypt raised diesel prices by 63% in the same month as part of reforms to remove subsidies within five years. India, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, and Ukraine have also phased out explicit subsidies and introduced taxes.

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